Heller Argument Today

I’ve been jumpier than a drop of water on a hot skillet. Today’s the day that the Supreme Court will hear the Heller (aka Parker) case. This is the one in which the Court could affirm the Second Amendment as an individual right.

There’s a lot riding on this. Here’s how I view the situation and the chances for each one:
*The Supremes might decide that there is no individual right to own any sort of firearm (10%) in which case, we must take it to the gun-friendly states and make sure we pass a constitutional amendment that restores the Second Amendment;
*They might decide that there is an individual right that cannot be regulated in any way for common classes of guns including handguns, rifles, shotguns, and maybe machine guns (5%);
*They might decide that there is an individual right to own most types of guns subject to reasonable regulation, but the bar would not be high for cities or states to decide what is reasonable (25%); or
*They might decide that there is an individual right to own most types of guns subject to reasonable regulation based on strict scrutiny meaning that cities or states must prove that a proposed law is needed, would be effective, and would not be a burden to the people (60%).

Let’s see how good a predictor I am in June or whenever the Court announces its decision.

There’s a lot on the today’s hearing at Saysuncle, and Countertop was in the audience. Be sure to check with them for updates. So far, from what I've read in my spare time and at lunch, it looks hopeful for our side.